It's been #1 since it came out on Tuesday. She has had at least 8 tracks in the top 50 since the album dropped. I counted yesterday but have not looked since early this morning. Can't remember where Blown Away was but it was pretty high. Not sure 18 is a bump because it was actually ahead of Good Girl this morning.
I had looked before Idol last night but didn't write it down. Blown Away was around #20 or #21 before and Good Girl around #23. Just checked this morning and Blown Away is up to #14 and Good Girl is at #21.
Here are Adam's #'s NCOE has dropped below BTIKM and was lower than 400 last night.
NCOE Pop 383. Never Close Our Eyes - Adam LambertFriday, May 04, 2012 7:38 AM
BTIKM Pop 350. Better Than I Know Myself - Adam LambertFriday, May 04, 2012 7:38 AM
YAY! Lookee here 58 49 Up this week ADAM LAMBERT Never Close Our Eyes 162 84 78 1.203
I think the sales forecast for Adam is in the ballpark but I think a bit high --- I am hoping that Trespassing opens > 100K but certainly not predicting that.* The Glee Graduation number looks good to me.
The John Mayer number looks a bit high to me. Battle Studies (2009) opened with 286,000 -- but that was without a big hit single on Adult Pop. This cycle he has less presence on radio. I think 250K will be a stretch - more like 200K but certain to be #1.
The forecast for Kris is not impressive but I will be impressed if he hits it. I guess they are banking on attention because they are released at the end of the Idol season and 1 week after Adam. But he has a core group of fans and sold 23K of his lead single -- so it is possible.
* The wild card with Adam's sales is that core fans buy so many copies, and that is hard to forecast.
ETA: IF Really good reviews for this album come out next week, then the dynamic will change. IF CHR starts playing NCOE then the dynamic will change. IF the Idol performance > Idol WWFM, the dynamic changes. BUT I think week 1 TRESPASSING sales will mostly be Adam fans.
Adam is likely to have the #1 debut in for release but Carrie Underwood and Adele will be real factors. He could need >80K to beat Carrie unless she has a really fast fall off -- and that would be a surprise. And Adele sells 80K a week, every week.
This is going to be close!!
From HDD -- next week's sales forecast:
Carrie Underwood will debut at #1 as Sony Music is set to occupy one half of next week's Top 10, while nearly half of the Top 15 will be debuts. Here's how it looks headed into the weekend:
*Carrie Underwood (19/Arista Nashville) 270-295k *Norah Jones (Blue Note/EMI) 95-105k *Now 42 (Capitol/EMI) 95-105k Adele (XL/Columbia) 75-80k *B.o.B (Grand Hustle/Atlantic) 70-75k Lionel Richie (Mercury Nashville) 70-75k Jack White (Third Man/Columbia) 55-60k One Direction (Syco/Columbia) 40-45k *The Music of Smash (Columbia) 40-45k *Marilyn Manson (Downtown) 35-40k Lee Brice (Curb) 30-35k Gotye (Fairfax/Universal Republic) 27-30k *Avengers Assemble (Marvel Music/Hollywood) 25-28k Luke Bryan (Capitol Nashville/EMI) 24-27k Kip Moore (MCA Nashville) 21-24k Jason Mraz (Atlantic) 21-24k
You do not have to shout but if you want to chat....
crazylady: login" again and then I will get the "redirecting" message at the top. Weird, huh
May 14, 2013 12:58:36 GMT -5
butterfly: I also have to login twice, such as crazylady.
May 14, 2013 13:43:48 GMT -5
crazylady: Sorry you are having the same login problem, butterfly, but at least I am in good company! At least we can log in! I'd panic if I couldn't! LOL
May 14, 2013 16:50:29 GMT -5
maitospf: crazyladym...happening to me too!
May 15, 2013 19:42:49 GMT -5
ayleim: Just checking - so there were NO Adam-sightings in the performance show right? Then I don't have to worry about being near the TV later tonight, I can just listen from the kitchen. :D
May 15, 2013 22:25:54 GMT -5
Q3: The second log-in is part of the security system to protect the site from hackers. If you want to avoid it, select the option to keep me logged in.
May 16, 2013 11:18:07 GMT -5
vivlite: Good to know about the log-in option..I kept wondering if I was imagining things when I had to log on twice..whew..
May 16, 2013 13:59:55 GMT -5
vivlite: Gotta stop down here more often..
May 16, 2013 14:01:03 GMT -5
crazylady: Q3, thanks for the update on the login process! Really appreciate it!
May 16, 2013 18:20:10 GMT -5
maitospf: Yes thank you Q3. Thought I was jinked there for a minute
May 16, 2013 21:11:10 GMT -5
maitospf: Woops - sorry! jinxed (the ghosts of my english teachers would haunt me for not proofreading, so there you you go) ... 8-|
May 16, 2013 21:13:49 GMT -5
minnie12: this is great, Sauli deserves the support. There's no negativity here and that's nice.
May 17, 2013 23:57:11 GMT -5
May 18, 2013 0:48:25 GMT -5
minnie12: Nice to see all the pics of Sauli and his friends. Has a lot of female friends. Goes out a lot with Ade?
May 18, 2013 23:48:39 GMT -5
blueberry: A tech question. When I post, I'm stuck in BB Code, can't get back to Preview. Any ideas? I have Preview as default in my profile, but that doesn't help.
May 18, 2013 23:56:59 GMT -5
Q3: blueberry. there should be a two labels on tabs at the bottom of the REPLY box -- one labeled Preview and one labeled BBCode. Can you see these or are they gone?
May 19, 2013 2:08:40 GMT -5
blueberry: Q3, I can still see the labels, but when I click on the Preview label, nothing happens. And every time I start a new post, it automatically takes me to BB Code. Otherwise it doesn't matter, but posting pictures would be easier in Preview (copy+paste).
May 19, 2013 2:14:12 GMT -5
JazzRocks: Q3 - I forgot where I click to make a contribution to Atop.
May 19, 2013 10:30:45 GMT -5
Q3: Oh in the site conversion the link to support ATop went away. I will restore it.
May 20, 2013 9:30:25 GMT -5
JazzRocks: Thanks Q3.
May 20, 2013 16:09:32 GMT -5