JazzRocks
Member
The Crazy Train is Ready to Roll!
Posts: 3,702
Location:
|
Post by JazzRocks on May 4, 2012 10:53:05 GMT -5
But isn't that true of many artists' fan groups? Especially fans of Idols? I've seen the call for "sending to the troupes, gifting, etc" from fans of other idols.
|
|
|
|
Post by stardust on May 4, 2012 11:11:37 GMT -5
For what it's worth, Willie Nelson is supposed to drop his new album on May 15th as well. It is called Heroes but is an album of duets. It could do well, but really difficult to estimate his fanbase now.
|
|
tigerlily
Member
Love and Light
Posts: 2,186
Location:
|
Post by tigerlily on May 4, 2012 11:17:18 GMT -5
100K!!!!!!!Yay!!!!!!!! 250K for John Mayer?  Maybe there are some emotional buyers involved to boost the numbers. This could be his last album. Who knows and who cares? WGWG.....  100K for BB!!!!!!!  |
|
|
|
Post by myspencer50 on May 4, 2012 11:54:37 GMT -5
But isn't that true of many artists' fan groups? Especially fans of Idols? I've seen the call for "sending to the troupes, gifting, etc" from fans of other idols. I would say "No." It seems the average Glambert has more money. Not me, or I'd be going to the UK! LOL! |
|
FanOfTheMan
Member
Love Our Guy!
Posts: 2,737
Location:
Member is Online
|
Post by FanOfTheMan on May 4, 2012 12:02:21 GMT -5
I find Norah Jones' numbers very interesting. Her numbers show how time and circumstances change.
The prediction for her first week sales is 95-105.
During her career she has sold over 1 million in first week sales - down to 180,000 and points inbetween.
I think Kelly Clarkson just hit it very lucky with her second album, Breakaway. She didn't even want Breakaway, the song, on her album but Clive Davis insisted. He was right. Breakaway opened the door for her, IMO. Without that song, she would not have broken away. heh.
|
|
|
|
Post by myspencer50 on May 4, 2012 13:34:11 GMT -5
Opening weeks for the past 10 months.
Kelly 163,000
Daughtry 128,600
Cook 46,000
I think Adam can do around Daughtry sales. Do not see Kris selling as much as Cook, so I think the 40,000 estimate for Kris is way too high.
|
|
kayko
Member
Posts: 438
Location:
|
Post by kayko on May 4, 2012 14:10:50 GMT -5
Yes that's what i'm hoping for too, his number somewhere between Kelly & Daughtry, but big hope for more close to Kelly please.
|
|
sagajo
Member
Posts: 14
Location:
|
Post by sagajo on May 4, 2012 14:17:15 GMT -5
I think 60-80K for Adam.
|
|
|
|
Post by rabbitrabbit on May 4, 2012 14:20:08 GMT -5
me too, anything over 70k or so is gravy and great IMO, but your range makes sense to me. |
|
tigerlily
Member
Love and Light
Posts: 2,186
Location:
|
Post by tigerlily on May 4, 2012 14:59:47 GMT -5
This was posted at Pulse on March 15th by the same guy who posted The numbers we got today: _____________________________ I don't know why people are surprised. Jack White's New Release Schedule estimate was 110k and The Wanted's estimate was 47k. Jason Mraz's estimate is 97k and Train's estimate is 100k. The New Release Schedule estimated 250k for Bruce Springsteen. Upcoming numbers: 3/13: One Direction 175k Ting Tings 25k 3/20: The Shins 100k Hunger Games Sdtk. 100k Cold Future 60k Melanie Fiona 38k Esperanza Spulding 32k 3/26: Madonna 205k Shinedown 90k Lionel Richie 65k All American Rejects 40k Katy Perry re-release 39k 4/3: Nicki Minaj 500k Rascal Flatts 180k Marvin Sapp 90k Remember, we have no idea how they compile these numbers. I'm sure some are based on pre-orders from retailers and the first week sales of the last release. ____________________________ How close were these estimates? Please don't make me look it up! I just read through 600 posts from this guy to find the last estimates he posted. He is a HUGE Madonna stan. I'm a little overwhelmed! |
|
|
|
Post by myspencer50 on May 4, 2012 15:38:45 GMT -5
The only one I know for sure is Lionel Richie. His is grossly under estimated but Lionel had a TV Special right before release that this guy probably didn't know about.
|
|
|
|
Post by rabbitrabbit on May 4, 2012 15:47:21 GMT -5
Jack White opening 138,000 copies, estimate was 110k
Wanted opening 34,000 copies, estimate was 47k
Jason Mraz opening 102,000 copies, estimate was 97k
One Direction 176,000 copies, estimate was 175k
Hunger games 175,000 copies, estimate was 100k
Madonna 359,000 copies, estimate was 205k (but there was that whole selling it w/ tickets thing and a huge week 2 drop)
Shinedown 106,000 copies, estimate was 90k
Nicki Minaj 253,000 copies, estimate was 500k (wow)
|
|
JazzRocks
Member
The Crazy Train is Ready to Roll!
Posts: 3,702
Location:
|
Post by JazzRocks on May 4, 2012 16:00:11 GMT -5
Jack White opening 138,000 copies, estimate was 110k Wanted opening 34,000 copies, estimate was 47k Jason Mraz opening 102,000 copies, estimate was 97k ugh, google has crashed on me looking up the others... will try again in a minute ETA: also A++ US music buyers opting for Jack over the Wanted that week  So the estimates were both low & high. I'm sure last minute promotion can make a difference. This is what I'm thinking. If it's the high end I'll be happy. If it's closer to 100K I'll be beside myself with joy! |
|
|
|
Post by bullsfan on May 4, 2012 17:15:58 GMT -5
I think Adam will be 75-80K; but I would love to be surprised and see him reach 100K. I think 40K is high for Kris. I think he will be about 35K.
Don't forget, Kelly's album came out in October (I think), and Daughtry had Black Friday---makes a big difference.
|
|
rihannsu
Member
On Twitter as @graffeodl
Posts: 2,265
Location:
|
Post by rihannsu on May 4, 2012 19:19:16 GMT -5
Wow, look at the customers also bought on Trespassing at Amazon. Carrie fans are buying Trespassing!
|
|
