6.15.15 - 6.21.15 Numbers Thread | Adamtopia Adam Lambert Fan Community

Deleted Posts: 0 Location:	6.15.15 - 6.21.15 Numbers Thread Jun 18, 2015 23:12:01 GMT -5 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by Deleted on Jun 18, 2015 23:12:01 GMT -5 I think they have underestimated by a bit also. My final number guess is 45 K

rihannsu
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6.15.15 - 6.21.15 Numbers Thread Jun 18, 2015 23:12:14 GMT -5

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Post by rihannsu on Jun 18, 2015 23:12:14 GMT -5

Jun 18, 2015 22:41:03 GMT -5 Q3 said:

KWORB's sales forecasts on Adam's track sales are higher than I expected -- looks like over 30K without any bump from GMA. So looks to me like with streaming, he could be at +5K

60 Adam Lambert - Ghost Town 0.1371 KWORB forecast is 26K unit sales

But Adam also has TOH 4K, Rumors 1K, ALN + EITN + Lucy 1K

***

Note: Hilary Duff's lead single is now at #59 and #106 on the iTunes singles chart. So I think that HDD may have underestimated her TEAs.

***

It is too hard to estimate audio streaming because so many of the streaming services do not post streaming counts. :(

Where does KWORB post sales estimates? I can't find that on his site.

"I prepare, I create, I love" - Adam Lambert

Deleted Posts: 0 Location:	6.15.15 - 6.21.15 Numbers Thread Jun 18, 2015 23:17:12 GMT -5 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by Deleted on Jun 18, 2015 23:17:12 GMT -5 See if this link works, Rihannsu kworb.net/cc/

rama
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6.15.15 - 6.21.15 Numbers Thread Jun 18, 2015 23:41:48 GMT -5

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Post by rama on Jun 18, 2015 23:41:48 GMT -5

I would much rather be in Adam's position than Hillary's. I feel for them. Either radio has ignored Sparks (the single) or RCA has not promoted it. Critics have ignored the album. There are not enough reviews to have a meteoritic score. The fans have this nice run of it looking good on iTunes but after that there is nothing for them. We have so much potential with Adam! I'm sure WB is happy!

Deleted Posts: 0 Location:	6.15.15 - 6.21.15 Numbers Thread Jun 18, 2015 23:44:05 GMT -5 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by Deleted on Jun 18, 2015 23:44:05 GMT -5 RCA Never gave Sparks an add date! Her fans hate FURCA! :(?

Q3
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6.15.15 - 6.21.15 Numbers Thread Jun 18, 2015 23:47:13 GMT -5

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Post by Q3 on Jun 18, 2015 23:47:13 GMT -5

Jun 18, 2015 23:12:14 GMT -5 rihannsu said:

Jun 18, 2015 22:41:03 GMT -5 Q3 said:

KWORB's sales forecasts on Adam's track sales are higher than I expected -- looks like over 30K without any bump from GMA. So looks to me like with streaming, he could be at +5K

60 Adam Lambert - Ghost Town 0.1371 KWORB forecast is 26K unit sales

But Adam also has TOH 4K, Rumors 1K, ALN + EITN + Lucy 1K

***

Note: Hilary Duff's lead single is now at #59 and #106 on the iTunes singles chart. So I think that HDD may have underestimated her TEAs.

***

It is too hard to estimate audio streaming because so many of the streaming services do not post streaming counts. :(

Where does KWORB post sales estimates? I can't find that on his site.

Pattihum beat me.

Here is the link: kworb.net/cc/

He just uses iTunes popbars and past sales actuals but since iTuens is such a large percentage of sales, it works.

In any case, GT should go up again tomorrow -- so his estimate is probably low for the week. That means to me the HDD estimate is wrong. I think it has to be a copy/paste error.

"Now there’s an audience for me being exactly who I am. There’s permission given.” Adam Lambert

Q3
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6.15.15 - 6.21.15 Numbers Thread Jun 18, 2015 23:56:14 GMT -5

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Post by Q3 on Jun 18, 2015 23:56:14 GMT -5

Jun 18, 2015 23:44:05 GMT -5 @pattihum said:

RCA Never gave Sparks an add date! Her fans hate FURCA! :(?

And they have her album on presale without a release date?!?!

***

I hope your 45K is right. I am in that ballpark. 41K - 43K using my throw a dart method!!

I think we will know tomorrow after the GMA -- hopefully he performs GT and TOH on TV. Those are the two tracks with the most sales response.

Last Edit: Jun 18, 2015 23:56:46 GMT -5 by Q3

"Now there’s an audience for me being exactly who I am. There’s permission given.” Adam Lambert

yoyo2time
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6.15.15 - 6.21.15 Numbers Thread Jun 19, 2015 3:27:06 GMT -5

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Post by yoyo2time on Jun 19, 2015 3:27:06 GMT -5

i would say TOH will finish at #5 with 36K sales (inclusive streaming). Duff will be #3/4 with 38 K (inclusive streaming)
No 3/4 is Ed Sheeran according to HDD 18-21k, 35-39k

Has anyone noticed why Spotify streaming of GT is not counting.. It has been days !!!

Last Edit: Jun 19, 2015 3:37:33 GMT -5 by yoyo2time

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6.15.15 - 6.21.15 Numbers Thread Jun 19, 2015 3:32:17 GMT -5

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Post by yoyo2time on Jun 19, 2015 3:32:17 GMT -5

Jun 18, 2015 19:31:10 GMT -5 @iridium said:

Jun 18, 2015 17:29:11 GMT -5 geezlouise said:

Updated top 15..........

YOUR TOP 15 HAS SEEN BOTH FIRE AND RAIN
James Taylor gets the first #1 album of his career next week; five titles will debut in next week’s Top 10.

*James Taylor (James Taylor) 80-85k sales, 80-85k SPS
*Adam Lambert (Warner Bros.) 35-40k, 35-40k
*Hilary Duff (RCA) 30-35k, 35-40k
Taylor Swift (Big Machine) 27-30k, 55-60k
*Nate Ruess (Fueled by Ramen) 20-25k, 24-29k
*Third Eye Blind (Mega Collider) 20-25k, 25-30k
Zac Brown Band (Southern Ground/Varvatos/Republic/BMLG) 19-22k, 25-29k
Ed Sheeran (Atlantic) 18-21k, 35-39k
Florence + the Machine (Republic) 18-22k, 24-29k
NOW Country 8 (NOW) 17-20k, 17-20k
Muse (Warner Bros.) 16-20k, 20-24k
Mumford & Sons (Glassnote) 16-20k, 20-24k
Sam Hunt (MCA Nashville) 14-19k, 30-34k
Twenty One Pilots (Fueled by Ramen) 14-19k, 21-25k
NOW 54 (NOW) 13-17k, 13-17k

Looks like JT has been adjusted up and TSwift's SPS #'s are going to take the #2 spot. Hilary's and Ed Sheeran's SPS #'s are too close for comfort.

Adam's number looks odd -- are they projecting no streaming? It says "35-40k" for both sales and SPS for TOH. What do the experts here think? Does the streaming data from Spotify look that low?

(Sorry if these questions are dumb -- not really following all of the numbers that closely. Thanks for your patience.)

Last Edit: Jun 19, 2015 3:38:01 GMT -5 by yoyo2time

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6.15.15 - 6.21.15 Numbers Thread Jun 19, 2015 3:33:14 GMT -5

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Post by yoyo2time on Jun 19, 2015 3:33:14 GMT -5

Jun 19, 2015 3:32:17 GMT -5 yoyo2time said:

Jun 18, 2015 19:31:10 GMT -5 @iridium said:

Adam's number looks odd -- are they projecting no streaming? It says "35-40k" for both sales and SPS for TOH. What do the experts here think? Does the streaming data from Spotify look that low?

(Sorry if these questions are dumb -- not really following all of the numbers that closely. Thanks for your patience.)

It is possible (not a typo). Meaning that Adam streaming may not contribute much, so even the actual sales could be 35 K and with stream would be 37K. Both Sales With or Without stream is still within 35-40K

Last Edit: Jun 19, 2015 3:35:45 GMT -5 by yoyo2time