5.25.15 - 5.31.15 Numbers Thread

Q102 spun more today than the past week! 

Also

AC

80 48 ADAM LAMBERT Ghost Town 31 8 23 0.102

+1 Spins
-3 Bullet
-.004 Audience


Unfortunately the 3 songs that could have been purged from the HAC chart all managed to stay within the top 10 so unless I missed something he's probably not moving up higher for the published chart.


ETA:  On CHR Taylor's song "Style" should be going recurrent so looks like he'll end up at #36

ETA2: Kworb's worldwide iTunes rank chart

Pos Pos+ Artist Points
97 +11 Adam Lambert 279



Ok, so the only use I can really see for the HDD Building Mediabase chart is to track the actual daily spin counts rather than just increases and decreases.  I recorded each day's figures then did all the math and here is what I come up with. 


Daily Spins

CHR LW TW

Sunday 176 164
Monday 209 206
Tuesday 163 176
Wednesday 211 212
Thursday 205 220
Friday 197 226
Saturday 256 333


HAC LW TW

Sunday 145 170
Monday 122 140
Tuesday 126 133
Wednesday 124 154
Thursday 111 148
Friday 126 152
Saturday 148 193

You can see that spin counts from day to day fluctuate up and down.  Radio station programming changes depending on day of the week, and day part.  Certain songs may only get spun during certain parts of the day.  Some days have different special programming that in turn affects available spin slots for the rest of the day.  Weekend programming is different from weekday programming.  Syndicated show spins also will affect others because if a song may be due a spin by station frequency in the last half hour before a syndicated show but they know the show would be spinning it as well sometimes they might skip a spin.  Some syndicated programs straddle the midnight hour and while they may spin a song 2 or 3 times during the show a different number of spins might be before midnight on one night but after midnight on another.  In other words it's super complicated and factors regarding minor spin count reductions per station often have nothing to do with the song itself.  +/- 1-3 spins at an individual station is not an indication of problems with the song. Even larger reductions really need to be looked at in relation to what other stations are doing.  Leaders sometimes back off to a more average overall spin pace for a song without it being a negative in terms of the song's trajectory.

Weekends can be especially traumatic in that a big update due to syndicated spins one week could be followed by big negatives the following week if those spins are lost.  For instance currently on HAC GT had AT40 HAC spins last weekend because it was played as the breakout track.  It made the countdown this week so it didn't loose those spins but if it had not made the countdown until next week it would have caused a loss of those particular syndicated spins.  The countdown shows actually usually do a pretty good job of timing those so a breakout one week makes the countdown the next but sometimes unforeseen circumstances do get in the way.

The main reason I'm going in to this is to try to combat the idea that seeing a negative number automatically is reason for worry.  The context of the negative number is what's important.  It's great when people want to understand the numbers but it's not so great when the mere sight of a negative causes alarm.  The first thing to understand about the numbers game is that there will be negative numbers.  The advice I have for people is very similar to advice for dieters, if the sight of a negative causes anxiety then stay away from the numbers just as dieters are advised to weigh less frequently if the numbers give them anxiety. 

Asking questions is great, just try to avoid Chicken Little syndrome of starting the post with an "OMG the sky is falling" tone. 

You're welcome.  Just trying to keep everybody's anxiety levels in check.