8.3.15 - 8.9.15 Numbers Thread

It was just showing a tweet by BBC2 radio in UK that Ghost Town was being played during a high listener time.  It has been getting play in the overnight time about once a day but not much when people are actually up and awake.

it was a recording of BBC2 playing GT with very positive comments by the DJ. The video was showing the poster's car radio console, so you could see the station, and the time it was happening - 18:27-18:31... I wonder why they deleted it...

ETA: I see the explanation...

Ok, I'm making predictions because it's fun right? So tomorrow on Top 40 we will get a negative bullet, somewhere around -40 but the spins will be around a +50. Why will the bullet be negative? Because last week on Thursday it was positive. That's a bit of a flippant answer but based on the math that's what I see. I've been watching that metric and I really don't see how the bullet predicts anything. The spin increase however actually makes sense to me.

So let's look at the spin increase so far this week and see if we can predict where that might take us by Sunday.
Mon -7
Tue +81
Wed +60

Now you might think when you add those up that it might equal the move, ie the number of spins this week over last week. It doesn't. Until Sunday that is, when the 7 day rolling numbers measure the same days the spin+ numbers do. And knowing this then we can make predictions based on how many more actual spins it gets each day than it got last week on that day. So let me add some estimated spin+ to our week.
Thu +53
Fri +50
Sat +20
Sun +20

Adding the predicted spins to the actual count we already have from Mon-Wed and we get a 277 move for 3450 total spins for the week. I'm basing Thur/Fri on the already large spin+ we got on Tues/Wed but being very conservative at 20 fewer additional spins a day. Sat/Sun is a bit of a toss up as these have been volatile days for GT so I'm assuming moderate growth and the same number of spins we got as last week on the syndicated shows.   I think I'm lower than it will actually be as that's only a 8.7% growth and I think he'll be closer to 10% growth which will be 3500 spins.

You can see my math on my google sheet at docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1CY93U5HQ3BZ95hupvY_o1GrzTC-dIDvmPPu7AdmJKlU/edit#gid=606099817 Find the right tab and scroll all the way to the right. My formatting is not nearly as elegant as some of the others who track numbers but it works for me.

What do you think? Am I high? Low? Which days would you change?

Adam Lambert Worldwide iTunes Performance | Last update: 2015-08-06 06:50:09 EDT | Back to list

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Ghost Town
#1 Australia
#3 Netherlands
#3 Poland
#8 Czech Republic
#8 Finland
#8 South Africa
#9 Namibia
#12 Germany
#14 Luxembourg
#21 New Zealand
#25 Sweden
#29 Mexico
#34 Denmark
#42 Papua New Guinea
#44 Ukraine
#46 Brazil
#49 Slovakia
#58 Latvia
#67 Estonia
#69 Canada
#73 Austria
#82 Turkey
#86 India
#88 United States #25 Pop
#99 Egypt
#100 Vietnam
#113 United Arab Emirates
#115 Singapore
#127 Russia
#136 Slovenia
#140 Jordan
#148 Taiwan
#149 Kazakhstan
#149 Malta
#151 Trinidad and Tobago
#157 Switzerland
#163 Turkey
#177 Saudi Arabia
#188 Mauritius
#435 United States (clean) #97 Pop

#71 Music Video #33 Pop

Whataya Want from Me
#119 New Zealand
#177 Australia

If I Had You
#164 Jordan
#166 Australia
#171 New Zealand

Outlaws of Love
#164 Fiji

The Original High
#5 Australia
#6 New Zealand
#21 Vietnam
#41 South Africa
#85 Bulgaria
#87 Russia
#95 Kazakhstan
#180 Finland
#440 United States #56 Pop

For Your Entertainment
#27 New Zealand

Trespassing
#76 New Zealand