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Post by Q3 on May 16, 2012 23:57:36 GMT -5
If Adam knocks it out of the park on Idol tomorrow, I think HDD may need to adjust.
Digital sales in the US was Adam's weak sales channel for FYE. It may be that iTunes sales are just down this week but Trespassing has been holding #1 for over 2 days now and that is much better than FYE did.
HDD had to adjust their forecast for FYE down. They started out with a 225K estimate and then dropped it on Friday of release week. They are usually very good at forecasting but they were off on Adam last time.
I am hoping they are off this time. <fingers and toes crossed>
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ladyoz
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LUV ADAM in the ROUGH
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Post by ladyoz on May 16, 2012 23:57:41 GMT -5
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vbstar
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Post by vbstar on May 17, 2012 0:02:51 GMT -5
Weren't they off on Carrie's prediction this year? They started lower and then readjusted her higher later in the week, correct? Maybe the Idol performance boosted her higher (although her performance was just ok) and it will boost Adam higher than expected also. Here's hoping.
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Post by houselady on May 17, 2012 0:05:51 GMT -5
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Post by butterfly on May 17, 2012 0:07:59 GMT -5
 glamdrea and ipreferadamtoyou! |
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Post by Q3 on May 17, 2012 0:11:07 GMT -5
Yes, HDD was off on Carrie and adjusted it up for week #2 but the forecast was 275K for week one and the album was pretty close to that -- Week #1 267,000 copies.
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Trespassing is up to #3 on Amazon -- up from #7 a couple of hours ago.
Is this the Amazon peak???
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Post by DancyGeorgia on May 17, 2012 0:15:06 GMT -5
Yes, HDD was off on Carrie and adjusted it up. Trespassing is up to #3 on Amazon -- up from #7 a couple of hours ago. Do they count both digital and physical sales? Also, both the deluxe and regular versions as one? |
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Post by Q3 on May 17, 2012 0:22:45 GMT -5
HDD uses both digital and physical sales from a few retailers, industry sources and info from labels to forecast.
Billboard is forecast both Adele and Carrie at 65K - 75K. I think Adam will beat that and come in north of 80K.
My forecast is a lot higher than rational (posted in the numbers thread before release date) and I am sure y'all hope I am right!! I am banking on Idol changing the sales curve.
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Post by DancyGeorgia on May 17, 2012 0:26:26 GMT -5
Sewardlicious @sewardlicious @michaelorland Adam Lambert on the Idol stage tomorrow!  Michael Orland @michaelorland @sewardlicious Can't wait to see @adamlambert . Just downloaded his new cd from iTunes in anticipation of his arrival tomorrow. #IDOL twitter about 1:15 am est today: Artistsupporter @artistsupporter @michaelorland @sewardlicious @adamlambert His album is pop brilliance. Thanks for your support of the artists. Michael Orland @michaelorland @artistsupporter @sewardlicious @adamlambert so proud of this boy. Blasting it right now as i tweet. |
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Post by Deleted on May 17, 2012 0:27:57 GMT -5
HDD uses both digital and physical sales from a few retailers, industry sources and info from labels to forecast. Billboard is forecast both Adele and Carrie at 65K - 75K. I think Adam will beat that and come in north of 80K. My forecast is a lot higher than rational (posted in the numbers thread before release date) and I am sure y'all hope I am right!! I am banking on Idol changing the sales curve. I don't know, maybe I have been in LaLa land for too long, but I would say Idol has to account for at least 20,000 purchases! Add that to the prediction of 80,000 and we get 100,000. I am still saying over 100,000. Dream big, right! Oh, and they did the hometown visits tonight so what on earth will they fill the show up with tomorrow?! Could the rumor about 2 songs from Adam be true? If it is and he gets to sing NCOE and Trespassing, then the HDD prediction will be way off! |
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